Top 6 2023 NBA Betting Trends
The NBA All-Star break is underway as we are over the halfway point of the 2022-23 NBA season. After a thrilling trade deadline that flipped the league on its axis, the entire league could look vastly different from what we’ve already seen so far this season.
With several questions still needing to be answered regarding the play of the top teams and players in the league, be sure to incorporate these six betting trends into your NBA wagers in the second half of the NBA season. These trends have proved to be profitable and reliable all year long and they could provide you with a winning edge against the oddsmakers to cap off a wild year of NBA action.
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Golden State Warriors Over
One of the leagues most prolific offences over the past decade, the fast-paced high-octane offence of the Golden State Warriors has been a revelation for Over bettors this season. Hitting the Over at a staggering 63.8% rate, the defending NBA Champions are always a great bet to exceed the expected amount of total points scored on any given night.
Sporting a roster featuring top offensive talents such as two-time league MVP Steph Curry, rising star Jordan Poole, and Toronto-native Andrew Wiggins, the Warriors are never short of dependable scorers to feed the rock to.
Another major factor in the Warriors Over rate being so high also stems from their lacklustre defence this season. Sitting in the bottom-half of the league in defensive rating and allowing the fourth-most points against per game.
Look for the Warriors to continue finding themselves in shootouts this season, providing not only exciting action on the court, but an easy win on your NBA wagers when you bet the Over on any Warriors matchup.
Chicago Bulls Under
Even on a team that rosters several All-Star players, the Bulls have been Under hitting machines in the 2023 NBA season, finishing 56.9% of their games played below the expected point total.
With their big three of DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine, and Nikola Vucevic continuing to struggle while sharing the court, the Bulls star power has been unable to mesh their playstyles productively. This has led to a stagnant offence that’s resulted in several games finishing with a low final score.
Luckily for the Bulls, their defence has been solid, providing their stars room to work on the scoreboard as they look to pull away with the win. The Bulls still possess tremendous upside, forcing oddsmakers hands to provide some generous point total lines which only helps provide bettors with terrific value on the Under.
Back the Bulls to continue to search for an answer to their offensive woes, but in the meantime, hammer the Under on any upcoming matchups featuring the Windy City squad.
Oklahoma City to Cover the Spread
Beginning to emerge from the shadows of back-to-back last place finishes in the Northwest Division, the Oklahoma City Thunder has not only proven to be a formidable force in the Western Conference, but also as a phenomenal point spread covering unit.
Led by All-Star guard and Canadian-born Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder and their up-and-coming team has turned heads this season, able to hang with even the top contenders in the league. Able to utilize their versatile roster full of unique talents, the Thunder easily stay within striking distance of their opponents.
Whether they are slated as a favourite or as an underdog, the Thunder have covered the spread at a phenomenal 63.2% rate this season. Stop doubting the young Thunder squad, back them to provide you with amazing profits in the tailend of the NBA season as they continue to cover the spread at an impressive rate.
Milwaukee Bucks as Favourites
A dominant force in the NBA, the Milwaukee Bucks have continued to throttle their competition this season. Proving themselves to be a powerhouse within the league, the Bucks are a great team to back when favoured by oddsmakers. Having opened as the favourites in 45 of their 56 games played this season, the Bucks have won a staggering 80% of their games as the favoured team.
Thanks to their hard-nosed defensive efforts, the former-NBA champions are always a great bet to leave with the win even against elite opponents. Not known to take it easy or rest of their laurels, the Bucks have no trouble trampling their opposition in order to add another notch in the win column.
Back the Bucks to continue proving why they are near the top of this year’s NBA Championship odds, bet on the Bucks moneyline whenever they are favoured to win the game.
Utah Jazz as Underdogs
One of the biggest surprises of the 2022-23 NBA season, the Utah Jazz have proven the critics wrong and have kept their playoff hopes alive in a season where analysts expected them to be at the bottom the of league standings.
With a strong roster full of proven veteran players, as well as the emergence of first time All-Star Lauri Markannen, the Jazz are a competitive unit that is always in play to pull off the upset. Having split the season in terms of being favoured or slated as underdogs, the Jazz are a reliable team to pull out the win with the odds stacked against them.
Having won 48.3% of their games played as underdogs, the Jazz hold the best win percentage of any team that has been on the unfavourable side of oddsmakers more than 20 times this season. Holding plenty of value as a moneyline pick, back the Jazz as an underdog and score yourself a hefty payday on this profitable betting trend.
FADE Texas-Based Teams to Cover the Spread
They say everything is bigger in Texas, this stands true for losses when you back any of the Lone Star States squads to cover the spread this season. The Dallas Mavericks, Houston Rockets, and San Antonio Spurs have been the three-worst teams against the spread this season, with none of these Texas-based teams able to cover in more than 40% of their games.
The Spurs and Rockets don’t come as a surprise on this list as they currently hold the worst records in the entire NBA, unable to compete against virtually any other team in the league.
While the Spurs and Rockets are in the midst of porous, tanking seasons, the Mavericks may come as a surprise to many NBA bettors. Even the heroic efforts of Superstar Luka Doncic has not been enough to galvanize his squad into competing at a high enough level to cover the spread both as a favourite and as an underdog.
Even with All-Star point guard, Kyrie Irving now playing for the Mavs, until we see some definite change in their covering rate, they remain a definite fade against the spread this season. Don’t bet on any Texas-based NBA franchise to cover the spread in the back half of the 2023 NBA season as they have proven unreliable and untrustworthy.
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